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2019财年增长指引高达60%,但阿里巴巴仍可能跑赢预期

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2020年02月22日 18:52:36
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(原)(标)(题)(:2019财)(年)(增)(长)(指)(引)(高)(达)(60%,但)(阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(仍)(可)(能)(跑)(赢)(预)(期)(
5月)(4日)(,阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(公)(布)(2018财)(年)(第)(四)(季)(度)(及)(全)(年)(业)(绩)(,在)(其)(中)(的)(2019财)(年)(增)(长)(指)(引)(中)(,阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(给)(出)(的)(数)(字)(达)(到)(超)(过)(60%的)(高)(位)(。
最)(新)(财)(报)(显)(示)(:2018财)(年)(第)(四)(季)(度)(中)(国)(零)(售)(平)(台)(的)(年)(度)(活)(跃)(消)(费)(者)(达)(到)(5.52亿)(,较)(前)(一)(季)(度)(净)(增)(加)(3700万)(。2018财)(年)(全)(年)(,收)(入)(为)(2502.66亿)(元)(人)(民)(币)((398.98亿)(美)(元)(),同)(比)(增)(长)(58%;核)(心)(电)(商)(业)(务)(收)(入)(2140.20亿)(元)(,同)(比)(增)(长)(60%。这)(三)(项)(关)(键)(指)(标)(均)(创)(下)(了)(阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(IPO以)(来)(的)(最)(高)(增)(幅)(。
参)(考)(2018年)(超)(预)(期)(的)(表)(现)(,更)(基)(于)(阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(在)(新)(零)(售)(领)(域)(的)(持)(续)(发)(力)(,与)(技)(术)(、物)(流)(等)(领)(域)(的)(加)(码)(投)(资)(所)(带)(来)(的)(增)(长)(前)(景)(,此)(番)(公)(布)(的)(2019财)(年)(收)(入)(增)(长)(指)(引)(达)(到)(超)(过)(60%的)(高)(位)(。
此)(前)(,阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(曾)(两)(次)(上)(调)(2018财)(年)(收)(入)(指)(引)(。在)(2017年)(11月)(公)(布)(第)(二)(季)(度)(业)(绩)(时)(,阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(宣)(布)(上)(调)(财)(年)(收)(入)(指)(引)(由)(原)(先)(的)(45%-49%至)(49%-53%。第)(三)(季)(度)(,基)(于)(临)(近)(2018财)(年)(结)(束)(时)(的)(强)(劲)(表)(现)(和)(业)(务)(增)(长)(的)(可)(预)(见)(度)(,阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(将)(2018财)(年)(的)(收)(入)(指)(引)(从)(49%-53%再)(次)(上)(调)(至)(55%—56%。尽)(管)(两)(次)(调)(高)(收)(入)(指)(引)(,2018财)(年)(最)(终)(增)(速)(仍)(超)(越)(预)(期)(。
实)(际)(上)(,阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(最)(初)(45%-49%的)(财)(年)(收)(入)(指)(引)(也)(已)(经)(大)(幅)(超)(出)(分)(析)(师)(的)(预)(测)(,后)(者)(给)(出)(的)(增)(速)(区)(间)(是)(36%-38%。
阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(在)(2018财)(年)(的)(收)(入)(增)(速)(连)(续)(颠)(覆)(市)(场)(预)(期)(,股)(价)(更)(飙)(升)(超)(过)(100%,其)(原)(因)(来)(自)(于)(阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(在)(“2017新)(零)(售)(元)(年)(”的)(抢)(眼)(表)(现)(,初)(步)(完)(成)(新)(零)(售)(布)(局)(令)(其)(收)(获)(爆)(发)(式)(增)(长)(动)(力)(。而)(2019财)(年)(收)(入)(同)(比)(增)(速)(超)(过)(60%的)(收)(入)(指)(引)(,说)(明)(阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(对)(新)(一)(年)(继)(续)(爆)(发)(式)(增)(长)(拥)(有)(足)(够)(自)(信)(。
阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(集)(团)(CEO张)(勇)(表)(示)(:“阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(集)(团)(又)(收)(获)(了)(一)(个)(卓)(越)(的)(季)(度)(及)(财)(年)(,这)(得)(益)(于)(核)(心)(电)(商)(业)(务)(的)(强)(劲)(增)(长)(,以)(及)(过)(去)(数)(年)(对)(具)(长)(远)(增)(长)(潜)(力)(的)(项)(目)(所)(做)(的)(投)(资)(。随)(着)(集)(团)(持)(续)(推)(进)(新)(零)(售)(战)(略)(,我)(们)(的)(电)(子)(商)(务)(平)(台)(正)(在)(发)(展)(成)(为)(中)(国)(领)(先)(的)(零)(售)(基)(础)(设)(施)(。”
财)(报)(显)(示)(,阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(核)(心)(电)(商)(业)(务)(动)(力)(十)(足)(,是)(上)(市)(以)(来)(增)(长)(最)(为)(强)(劲)(的)(年)(份)(之)(一)(。2018财)(年)(第)(四)(季)(度)(,阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(核)(心)(电)(商)(业)(务)(收)(入)(达)(512.87亿)(元)(人)(民)(币)((81.76亿)(美)(元)(),同)(比)(增)(长)(62%,全)(年)(核)(心)(电)(商)(业)(务)(收)(入)(2140.20亿)(元)(人)(民)(币)((341.20亿)(美)(元)(),同)(比)(增)(长)(60%。
张)(勇)(同)(时)(预)(计)(:“过)(去)(一)(年)(,我)(们)(加)(码)(投)(资)(于)(技)(术)(开)(发)(、云)(计)(算)(、物)(流)(、数)(字)(娱)(乐)(和)(本)(地)(生)(活)(服)(务)(,以)(此)(创)(造)(中)(国)(及)(其)(他)(新)(兴)(市)(场)(消)(费)(增)(长)(”。阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(集)(团)(首)(席)(财)(务)(官)(武)(卫)(在)(展)(望)(2019财)(年)(时)(总)(结)(认)(为)(:“我)(们)(预)(期)(,新)(增)(长)(点)(将)(为)(我)(们)(的)(客)(户)(和)(合)(作)(伙)(伴)(带)(来)(长)(期)(且)(可)(持)(续)(的)(价)(值)(,并)(扩)(大)(我)(们)(的)(总)(目)(标)(市)(场)(。”
随)(着)(投)(入)(和)(布)(局)(,阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(的)(新)(业)(务)(增)(长)(迅)(速)(。受)(付)(费)(客)(户)(增)(长)(强)(劲)(以)(及)(高)(附)(加)(值)(产)(品)(带)(来)(的)(收)(入)(结)(构)(改)(善)(等)(因)(素)(影)(响)(,云)(计)(算)(全)(年)(业)(务)(收)(入)(133.90亿)(元)(人)(民)(币)((21.35亿)(美)(元)(),同)(比)(增)(长)(101%;在)(东)(南)(亚)(电)(商)(平)(台)(Lazada和)(全)(球)(零)(售)(市)(场)(平)(台)(AliExpress的)(强)(劲)(增)(长)(带)(动)(下)(,阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(国)(际)(商)(业)(零)(售)(业)(务)(收)(入)(同)(比)(增)(长)(94%;业)(界)(领)(先)(的)(创)(新)(快)(消)(商)(超)(零)(售)(模)(式)(盒)(马)(鲜)(生)(发)(展)(速)(度)(惊)(人)(,截)(至)(2018年)(3月)(31日)(,盒)(马)(已)(有)(37家)(门)(店)(。
超)(越)(市)(场)(预)(期)(已)(经)(成)(为)(阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(的)(标)(配)(动)(作)(。阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(的)(整)(个)(2018财)(年)(,几)(乎)(就)(是)(华)(尔)(街)(分)(析)(师)(的)(预)(测)(反)(复)(被)(阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(业)(绩)(数)(字)(抛)(在)(身)(后)(的)(一)(年)(。对)(于)(刚)(刚)(给)(出)(的)(高)(达)(60%的)(2019财)(年)(增)(长)(指)(引)(,或)(许)(正)(确)(的)(对)(待)(态)(度)(就)(是)(华)(尔)(街)(分)(析)(师)(们)(目)(前)(在)(社)(交)(媒)(体)(上)(流)(传)(的)(一)(句)(话)(:“对)(阿)(里)(巴)(巴)(的)(正)(确)(预)(期)(就)(是)(阿)(里)(将)(跑)(赢)(预)(期)(”。返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(
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