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财技:通缩阴影笼罩中国:这几类人被影响

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2020年02月22日 18:37:49
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河内五分彩豹子玩法平台直招龙虎代理客服QQ/微信【421618535】诚招代理【在线开户网址um996.com】龙虎和龙虎1赔2.211合1赔9.95,定位胆1赔9.95腾讯分分彩,5分,10分彩,最高返水100反9快,最高赔率,正规信誉大平台平台24h提供注册及登录。财技:通缩阴影笼罩中国:这几类人被影响

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(通)(缩)(阴)(影)(笼)(罩)(中)(国)(:这)(几)(类)(人)(被)(影)(响)(
 通)(缩)(对)(大)(家)(来)(说)(并)(不)(是)(件)(好)(事)(,通)(缩)(时)(代)(来)(临)(,社)(会)(商)(品)(、能)(源)(、劳)(务)(等)(供)(过)(于)(求)(,价)(格)(下)(降)(,企)(业)(盈)(利)(水)(平)(也)(处)(于)(下)(降)(通)(道)(,大)(家)(工)(资)(收)(入)(水)(平)(也)(受)(到)(很)(大)(影)(响)(。如)(果)(通)(缩)(时)(代)(,怎)(样)(才)(能)(守)(住)(自)(己)(钱)(袋)(子)(不)(缩)(水)(呢)(?如)(果)(投)(资)(,我)(们)(投)(什)(么)(?
  国)(家)(统)(计)(局)(今)(日)(公)(布)(数)(据)(显)(示)(,1月)(CPI同)(比)(上)(涨)(0.8%,自)(2009年)(11月)(以)(来)(首)(次)(跌)(破)(1%。而)(1月)(PPI同)(比)(下)(降)(4.3%,创)(下)(2009年)(10月)(份)(以)(来)(新)(低)(。机)(构)(指)(出)(,1月)(CPI涨)(幅)(仅)(为)(0.8%显)(示)(通)(缩)(风)(险)(正)(在)(加)(剧)(。从)(近)(期)(食)(品)(价)(格)(的)(走)(势)(来)(看)(,CPI在)(短)(期)(内)(还)(将)(继)(续)(下)(探)(。
  通)(缩)(对)(大)(家)(来)(说)(并)(不)(是)(件)(好)(事)(,通)(缩)(时)(代)(来)(临)(,社)(会)(商)(品)(、能)(源)(、劳)(务)(等)(供)(过)(于)(求)(,价)(格)(下)(降)(,企)(业)(盈)(利)(水)(平)(也)(处)(于)(下)(降)(通)(道)(,大)(家)(工)(资)(收)(入)(水)(平)(也)(受)(到)(很)(大)(影)(响)(。如)(果)(通)(缩)(时)(代)(,怎)(样)(才)(能)(守)(住)(自)(己)(钱)(袋)(子)(不)(缩)(水)(呢)(?如)(果)(投)(资)(,我)(们)(投)(什)(么)(?
  通)(缩)(下)(两)(类)(人)(受)(影)(响)(
  通)(缩)(下)(首)(当)(受)(到)(冲)(击)(的)(是)(企)(业)(主)(。交)(行)(金)(融)(研)(究)(中)(心)(在)(报)(告)(中)(指)(出)(,当)(前)(大)(宗)(商)(品)(价)(格)(仍)(未)(见)(底)(,在)(未)(来)(一)(段)(时)(间)(可)(能)(继)(续)(下)(跌)(,工)(业)(产)(品)(价)(格)(整)(体)(低)(位)(运)(行)(的)(态)(势)(难)(以)(观)(,产)(能)(过)(剩)(下)(内)(需)(不)(足)(。简)(单)(说)(,如)(果)(企)(业)(产)(能)(过)(剩)(,东)(西)(卖)(不)(出)(去)(,盈)(利)(减)(少)(。数)(据)(显)(示)(,受)(国)(内)(外)(经)(济)(不)(景)(气)(影)(响)(,一)(些)(小)(微)(企)(业)(经)(营)(形)(势)(日)(趋)(严)(峻)(,一)(些)(企)(业)(因)(资)(金)(链)(断)(裂)(而)(无)(法)(继)(续)(经)(营)(。另)(外)(,库)(存)(和)(产)(品)(价)(格)(的)(下)(滑)(会)(导)(致)(企)(业)(资)(产)(缩)(水)(,致)(使)(企)(业)(负)(债)(率)(上)(升)(。
  靠)(工)(资)(挣)(钱)(的)(人)(惨)(了)(。在)(通)(货)(紧)(缩)(大)(环)(境)(下)(,企)(业)(供)(过)(于)(求)(,价)(格)(下)(降)(无)(利)(可)(图)(,投)(资)(信)(心)(会)(下)(降)(,就)(会)(缩)(小)(投)(资)(规)(模)(,引)(发)(诸)(如)(削)(减)(员)(工)(,降)(低)(工)(资)(等)(成)(本)(削)(减)(措)(施)(。这)(对)(单)(纯)(靠)(工)(资)(挣)(钱)(的)(人)(来)(说)(将)(是)(很)(大)(影)(响)(,一)(旦)(发)(生)(通)(货)(紧)(缩)(,失)(业)(率)(升)(高)(、工)(资)(下)(降)(,收)(入)(降)(低)(。
  现)(金)(为)(王)(
  理)(财)(专)(家)(指)(出)(,通)(缩)(时)(代)(,一)(切)(资)(产)(都)(会)(贬)(值)(,最)(重)(要)(的)(是)(保)(证)(存)(量)(资)(产)(的)(安)(全)(性)(,所)(以)(现)(金)(为)(王)(。
  分)(析)(认)(为)(,负)(利)(率)(时)(代)(,银)(行)(存)(款)(的)(利)(息)(收)(入)(低)(于)(物)(价)(上)(涨)(幅)(度)(,大)(家)(可)(能)(更)(愿)(意)(拿)(钱)(来)(寻)(求)(更)(好)(的)(资)(产)(增)(值)(渠)(道)(,比)(如)(购)(买)(房)(产)(、股)(票)(等)(抗)(通)(胀)(产)(品)(等)(。如)(果)(出)(现)(通)(缩)(的)(话)(,比)(如)(CPI为)(负)(值)(,在)(这)(种)(正)(利)(率)(时)(代)(,大)(家)(应)(该)(将)(钱)(存)(入)(银)(行)(。即)(通)(胀)(下)(,银)(行)(存)(款)(利)(率)(再)(高)(,若)(CPI高)(居)(不)(下)(,也)(可)(能)(存)(款)(变)(成)(负)(利)(率)(。而)(通)(缩)(下)(,银)(行)(存)(款)(利)(率)(再)(低)(,若)(CPI为)(负)(,存)(款)(也)(依)(然)(在)(增)(值)(。
  配)(置)(债)(券)(类)(产)(品)(
  理)(财)(专)(家)(指)(出)(,通)(缩)(周)(期)(内)(,将)(闲)(置)(资)(产)(尽)(量)(多)(地)(配)(置)(债)(券)(类)(产)(品)(,包)(括)(国)(债)(、企)(业)(债)(、债)(券)(型)(基)(金)(。
  分)(析)(认)(为)(,通)(货)(紧)(缩)(有)(增)(加)(债)(券)(价)(格)(的)(趋)(势)(。投)(资)(者)(倾)(向)(于)(购)(买)(债)(券)(抵)(御)(价)(格)(变)(化)(的)(影)(响)(。在)(通)(货)(紧)(缩)(期)(间)(,任)(何)(有)(利)(息)(的)(政)(府)(债)(券)(都)(能)(带)(来)(超)(过)(通)(货)(紧)(缩)(率)(的)(回)(报)(。这)(种)(正)(收)(益)(增)(加)(了)(对)(债)(券)(的)(需)(求)(量)(,因)(此)(会)(使)(价)(格)(上)(涨)(。债)(券)(价)(格)(上)(涨)(也)(反)(映)(出)(通)(货)(紧)(缩)(期)(间)(的)(经)(济)(不)(确)(定)(性)(缺)(乏)(。在)(不)(确)(定)(时)(期)(,人)(们)(不)(太)(愿)(意)(投)(资)(股)(票)(并)(会)(选)(择)(债)(券)(,因)(为)(后)(者)(被)(视)(为)(更)(安)(全)(的)(资)(产)(。
另)(外)(,在)(通)(缩)(环)(境)(中)(,期)(限)(较)(长)(的)(政)(府)(债)(往)(往)(表)(现)(较)(好)(。回)(顾)(历)(史)(上)(的)(几)(次)(通)(缩)(环)(境)(中)(,投)(资)(者)(纷)(纷)(购)(买)(国)(债)(避)(险)(,推)(动)(收)(益)(率)(下)(降)(,而)(价)(格)(则)(飙)(升)(,导)(致)(整)(体)(的)(回)(报)(率)(升)(高)(。
  无)(论)(是)(降)(息)(还)(是)(降)(准)(,都)(有)(利)(于)(导)(致)(债)(券)(收)(益)(率)(曲)(线)(的)(下)(行)(,从)(而)(利)(好)(债)(市)(。工)(银)(瑞)(信)(基)(金)(认)(为)(,结)(合)(历)(史)(经)(验)(来)(看)(,降)(准)(周)(期)(开)(启)(后)(,随)(着)(后)(期)(货)(币)(政)(策)(的)(不)(断)(放)(松)(,回)(购)(利)(率)(将)(会)(大)(幅)(下)(行)(,刺)(激)(债)(市)(行)(情)(。
  股)(票)(,一)(定)(要)(小)(心)(
  一)(般)(来)(说)(,通)(缩)(对)(股)(票)(是)(个)(坏)(消)(息)(,因)(为)(持)(续)(一)(段)(时)(间)(的)(物)(价)(下)(跌)(和)(需)(求)(疲)(软)(会)(减)(少)(企)(业)(利)(润)(,从)(而)(打)(压)(股)(价)(。然)(而)(,这)(并)(不)(意)(味)(着)(担)(心)(通)(缩)(发)(生)(的)(投)(资)(者)(应)(该)(完)(全)(退)(出)(股)(市)(。
  业)(内)(人)(士)(认)(为)(,受)(国)(际)(油)(价)(下)(行)(和)(内)(需)(疲)(软)(等)(因)(素)(影)(响)(,中)(国)(经)(济)(面)(临)(较)(为)(严)(峻)(的)(通)(缩)(压)(力)(,对)(于)(A股)(而)(言)(,上)(游)(原)(材)(料)(行)(业)(和)(高)(负)(债)(企)(业)(的)(利)(润)(会)(受)(到)(挤)(压)(,但)(同)(时)(也)(带)(来)(了)(结)(构)(性)(机)(会)(:下)(游)(企)(业)(将)(受)(益)(于)(通)(缩)(压)(力)(下)(原)(料)(成)(本)(的)(下)(降)(;通)(缩)(压)(力)(带)(来)(的)(实)(际)(利)(率)(上)(升)(将)(有)(利)(于)(推)(动)(落)(后)(企)(业)(的)(退)(出)(,为)(优)(势)(企)(业)(的)(逆)(势)(扩)(张)(提)(供)(了)(机)(遇)(;通)(缩)(压)(力)(带)(来)(的)(财)(政)(政)(策)(和)(货)(币)(政)(策)(进)(一)(步)(宽)(松)(则)(给)(金)(融)(、基)(建)(等)(板)(块)(带)(来)(利)(好)(。
  还)(有)(分)(析)(人)(士)(建)(议)(,在)(通)(缩)(情)(况)(下)(如)(果)(要)(投)(资)(股)(票)(,则)(需)(要)(选)(择)(现)(金)(充)(足)(、低)(债)(务)(率)(、派)(息)(稳)(定)(,产)(品)(即)(使)(在)(经)(济)(低)(迷)(时)(期)(也)(会)(有)(人)(购)(买)(的)(企)(业)(,例)(如)(消)(费)(必)(需)(品)(公)(司)(。
  谨)(慎)(投)(资)(楼)(市)(
  一)(般)(而)(言)(,通)(缩)(意)(味)(着)(大)(宗)(商)(品)(、房)(地)(产)(和)(其)(它)(硬)(资)(产)(的)(价)(格)(会)(出)(现)(下)(跌)(。2014年)(,中)(国)(房)(价)(一)(线)(二)(线)(三)(线)(城)(市)(均)(出)(现)(了)(普)(遍)(下)(跌)(。近)(日)(,兴)(业)(银)(行)(首)(席)(经)(济)(学)(家)(鲁)(政)(委)(就)(表)(示)(,过)(去)(15年)(那)(样)(房)(地)(产)(价)(格)(高)(速)(上)(涨)(同)(时)(投)(资)(也)(快)(速)(增)(长)(的)(黄)(金)(时)(期)(已)(经)(结)(束)(了)(。最)(新)(数)(据)(显)(示)(,房)(地)(产)(投)(资)(持)(续)(下)(行)(,1月)(30城)(市)(高)(频)(跟)(踪)(的)(房)(地)(产)(销)(售)(套)(数)(和)(面)(积)(同)(环)(比)(均)(大)(幅)(走)(弱)(,1月)(万)(科)(和)(保)(利)(公)(布)(的)(销)(售)(额)(同)(比)(均)(出)(现)(负)(增)(长)(。房)(地)(产)(投)(资)(还)(有)(持)(续)(下)(行)(的)(压)(力)(。
  分)(析)(师)(们)(表)(示)(,在)(通)(缩)(环)(境)(下)(,投)(资)(者)(应)(该)(特)(别)(当)(心)(商)(业)(地)(产)(和)(住)(宅)(地)(产)(,以)(及)(投)(资)(该)(领)(域)(的)(房)(地)(产)(信)(托)(基)(金)(。不)(过)(投)(资)(者)(应)(该)(注)(意)(的)(是)(,在)(通)(缩)(环)(境)(下)(,政)(府)(会)(采)(取)(一)(些)(措)(施)(刺)(激)(房)(地)(产)(以)(求)(拉)(动)(经)(济)(,这)(可)(能)(将)(推)(动)(房)(价)(上)(涨)(。在)(2008年)(中)(国)(面)(对)(全)(球)(经)(济)(危)(机)(威)(胁)(时)(,对)(房)(地)(产)(进)(行)(了)(一)(些)(刺)(激)(措)(施)(,中)(国)(房)(价)(在)(2009年)(迎)(来)(了)(大)(幅)(上)(涨)(。
  黄)(金)(值)(得)(拥)(有)(吗)(?分)(析)(师)(们)(说)(,黄)(金)(被)(许)(多)(投)(资)(者)(视)(为)(抗)(通)(胀)(的)(武)(器)(,但)(其)(实)(也)(能)(用)(来)(对)(付)(通)(缩)(。政)(府)(往)(往)(印)(更)(多)(的)(钞)(票)(来)(应)(对)(通)(缩)(担)(忧)(,从)(而)(引)(发)(未)(来)(的)(通)(胀)(恐)(惧)(,推)(动)(黄)(金)(价)(格)(上)(涨)(。
  谨)(慎)(贷)(款)(类)(消)(费)(
  毫)(无)(疑)(问)(,随)(着)(经)(济)(形)(势)(的)(日)(益)(严)(峻)(,出)(口)(的)(衰)(退)(,企)(业)(的)(不)(景)(气)(,甚)(至)(倒)(闭)(,如)(果)(现)(在)(还)(处)(于)(贷)(款)(买)(房)(买)(车)(的)(人)(,将)(来)(会)(面)(临)(巨)(大)(的)(还)(贷)(困)(难)(。另)(外)(,如)(果)(你)(欠)(了)(30万)(元)(,而)(物)(价)(在)(下)(跌)(,那)(么)(你)(要)(偿)(还)(的)(债)(务)(本)(来)(可)(以)(换)(来)(更)(多)(的)(商)(品)(和)(服)(务)(。
  如)(果)(你)(不)(得)(不)(承)(担)(一)(些)(债)(务)(,那)(就)(尽)(可)(能)(缩)(短)(借)(款)(期)(限)(。华)(尔)(街)(日)(报)(建)(议)(说)(,如)(果)(投)(资)(者)(预)(期)(会)(出)(现)(通)(缩)(,那)(就)(还)(清)(抵)(押)(贷)(款)(,投)(资)(于)(较)(长)(期)(限)(的)(债)(券)(。“不)(要)(把)(自)(己)(锁)(定)(在)(一)(个)(较)(高)(的)(贷)(款)(利)(率)(中)(。”(文)(/钟)(慧)()
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